Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit
THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from
THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go to
THE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: April 28, 2022
2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE
AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:
Early word is very promising for Colin Firth’s work on HBO’s “The Staircase” alongside Toni Collette, which could be a latecomer to a race that has been dominated by Michael Keaton’s work in Hulu’s “Dopesick.”
Oscar Isaac will be pulling double duty with Marvel’s “Moon Knight” and HBO’s “Scenes from a Marriage,” the latter of which is a stronger awards play, given the competition in this tight race.
Established and respected veterans are in the mix such as Ben Foster in”The Survivor” by Oscar-winner Barry Levinson, the only television movie with the best chance at multiple awards recognition (at the moment).
Samuel L. Jackson was honored with an Honorary Oscar earlier this year, and he could add an Emmy to hit for his passion project, “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” on Apple TV+.
Other big names eyeing consideration are Andrew Garfield (“Under the Banner of Heaven”), Sebastian Stan (“Pam and Tommy”), Sean Penn (“Gaslit”) and Tom Hiddleston (“The Essex Serpent”).
The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.
The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.
The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.
2021 category winner: Ewan McGregor, “Halston” (Netflix)
ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:
|AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:|
|2||Ben Foster||“The Survivor”||HBO/HBO Max|
|3||Andrew Garfield||“Under the Banner of Heaven”||FX|
|4||Oscar Isaac||“Scenes from a Marriage”||HBO/HBO Max|
|5||Sebastian Stan||“Pam and Tommy”||Hulu|
|6||Samuel L. Jackson||“The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey”||Apple TV+|
|NEXT IN LINE|
|7||Liev Schreiber||“Ray Donovan: The Movie”||Showtime|
|8||Colin Firth||“The Staircase”||HBO/HBO Max|
|9||Tom Hiddleston||“The Essex Serpent”||Apple TV+|
|OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS|
|11||Paul Bettany||“A Very British Scandal”||Amazon Prime Video|
|12||Clive Owen||“Impeachment: American Crime Story”||FX|
|13||Joshua Jackson||“Dr. Death”||Peacock|
|14||Jamie Dornan||“The Tourist”||HBO/HBO Max|
|16||Himesh Patel||“Station Eleven”||HBO/HBO Max|
|17||Jared Leto||“WeCrashed”||Apple TV+|
|19||Jaden Michael||“Colin in Black and White”||Netflix|
|20||Hamish Linklater||“Midnight Mass”||Netflix|
|ALSO IN CONTENTION|
|21||David Thewlis||“Landscapers”||HBO/HBO Max|
|22||Tony Goldwyn||“The Hot Zone: Anthrax”||National Geographic|
|23||Ben Whishaw||“This is Going to Hurt”||BBC One|
|25||Oscar Isaac||“Moon Knight”||Disney+|
|27||Will Ferrell||“The Shrink Next Door”||Apple TV+|
|28||Paul Rudd||“The Shrink Next Door”||Apple TV+|
|29||David Oyelowo||“The Girl Before”||HBO/HBO Max|
|30||Bruce Davison||“The Manor”||Amazon Prime Video|
|—||Charlie Day||“I Want You Back”||Amazon Prime Video|
|—||Finn Wittrock||“American Horror Story: Double Feature”||FX|
|—||Harry Connick Jr.||“Annie Live!”||NBC|
|—||John Cameron Mitchell||“Joe vs. Carole”||Peacock|
|—||Joseph Gordon-Levitt||“Super Pumped”||Showtime|
|—||Kevin Hart||“True Story”||Netflix|
|—||Kevin Hart||“Live in Front of a Studio Audience: ‘The Facts of Life’ and ‘Diff’rent Strokes’”||ABC|
|—||Miles Teller||“The Offer”||Paramount+|
|—||Stephen Graham||“Help”||Channel 4|
|—||Tom Riley||“The Woman in the House Across the Street from the Girl in the Window”||Netflix|
|—||William Jackson Harper||“Love Life”||HBO/HBO Max|
|—||Zach Braff||“Moonshot”||HBO/HBO Max|
|—||Zach Braff||“Cheaper by the Dozen”||Disney+|
AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Lead Actor Limited)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.
For wins: This category has had many rule changes and inceptions in its history, but it’s worth noting that Laurence Olivier has the most wins in this category, with four with Peter Ustinov behind him with three.
For nominations: Hal Holbrook has the most nominations in this category of any actor with seven, while Benedict Cumberbatch and Laurence Olivier follow close behind with six apiece.
2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions
2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions
- Outstanding Television Movie
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
- Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
- Outstanding Reality Host
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
- Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
- Outstanding Animated Program
- Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
- Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
- Outstanding Narrator
- Outstanding Structured Program
- Outstanding Unstructured Program
- Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
- Outstanding Documentary Special
- Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
- Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
- Outstanding Main Title Design
- Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
- Outstanding Music for Series
- Outstanding Music for Limited Series
- Outstanding Music and Lyrics
- Outstanding Music Supervision
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.
- The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.